IFD-Enews Bulletin

No. 02,January-March 2002

CUTS Centre for Competition, Investment and Economic Regulation

Jaipur, India

Contents

Editors note

Possible Virtues of Mergers & Acquisitions!

The IFD project

About the Project

Project Update

News Analysis

FDI Outbook in 2002

Fallout of the Enron Eposide

Publications

Editors note

 

Possible Virtues of Mergers and Acquisitions!

The 1990s and 2000 experienced a high foreign direct investment (FDI) flows, mainly due to an explosion in mergers and acquisitions (M&As). Greenfield investment formed a small portion of total FDI flows. Increases in M&As reflected, a shift in the composition of FDI away from greenfield investment as well as a growth in the international financial markets. At the same time, overseas development assistance (ODA) has fallen significantly in the last decade, which has made developing countries more dependent on FDI as a source of capital.

It is believed that greenfield investment is more beneficial for an economy as it results in asset creation. However, in certain countries, such as in transition economies, M&As may be more desirable. A reason could be that M&A flows in these economies are associated with the privatisation programme, which has linkages with the local economy. On the other hand, greenfield investment may use less local inputs. Though investors usually have a choice between greenfield investment and M&As, these two are not always realistic substitutes. Therefore, while discussing FDI one has to consider that M&As are often the only direct mode of entry of foreign investors in a country.

M&As could play an important role in economic growth and recovery, as it might do in the case of South East Asian economies. These countries are now in the path of economic recovery after a long period of recession brought about by the financial crisis in the late 1990s, the slump in the IT (information technology) industry in 2000 and the slowdown in the US economy in 2001. M&As could be an important instrument to achieve this. However, this is not to say that M&As would not lead to any competition problems.

South East Asian economies are looking to ICE (IT and telecom) sectors to recover from economic slump. This could be a win-win situation for the economies and the business. For example, once the Global Crossing was among the world leaders in telecommunications sector, but in January 2002, the company filed for bankruptcy protection. A take-over of the company by the Hong Kong-based businessman Li Kashing and the state-owned Singapore Technologies is proposed. A successful take-over could boost investors’ confidence in the region.                                                        
                                                                                                                           Pradeep S. Mehta, Editor

 BACK TO CONTENTS

 

The Investment for Development (IFD) project

About The project

The ‘Investment for Development’ project aims to create awareness and build capacity on investment regimes and international investment issues in developing and transition economies. The project is supported by the Department for International development (DFID), UK and is conducted by CUTS-CITEE with the collaboration with the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD). There are two aspects to the project: fact finding and advocacy. 

            Seven countries have been selected for the project to cover a range in terms of size, level of development, macroeconomic characteristics, geographical location, investment policy and performance.             These are Bangladesh, Brazil, Hungary, India, South Africa, Tanzania and Zambia. The aim of the project is to do a comparative study on investment regimes in these countries so as to find out the factors that will help them to attract, use and retain FDI while meeting development objectives.
More: http://www.cuts-international.org/ifd-indx.htm

Project Update
Operational Strategy Note (OSN)

The OSN outlines the objectives and management of the project and the timetable. It also talks about the structure and contents of the outputs. It has been finalised and put onto the CUTS’ web site [www.cuts-international.org].

Investment for Development’ Newsletter

A quarterly newsletter, ‘Investment for Development,’ is published regularly, covering developments relating to investment policy and experience. 
For subscription, write to: ifd_cuts@rediffmail.com or cuts@cuts.org (US$15/Indian Rs.50 per annum)

National Reference Group (NRG) Meetings

One of the most important activities of the project is to form national reference group (NRG) in each of the partner-countries. The purpose is to develop a constituency for better investment climate. It also aims at increasing awareness on investment policy issues among the civil society representatives and generating ways to take forward advocacy points suggested by the research. The first round of NRG meetings has been held. More: www.cuts-international.org/ifd-indx.htm

Country Reports

Researcher in each of the seven countries is to prepare two reports on investment policies and performance. The first one (Report A) will study national investment regime, while the second will cover sector-specific analyses of investment performance so as to generate specific policy recommendations
More: http://cuts-international.org/ifd-cr-lm.htm

News Analysis

FDI Outlook in 2002

Recovery in 2002

Global FDI grew spectacularly in the 1990s. In 1993 world FDI flows were a little over US$ 200 billion, in 2000 this figure rose to a record $1.3 trillion. In 2001, however, FDI flows fell drastically due to a recession in the world economy. FDI is set to recover in 2002 led by a recovery in the US economy.

More: http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/english/business/newsid_1793000/1793998.htm 

IT-related Investments Drives Recovery

A fast recovery of the US economy is taking place due to a number of factors. An important factor being a faster access of real-time information, which has improved business decision-making considerably. IT investments in the late 1990s are driving changes in business organisation. A number of business analysts had predicted that the power of IT would kill business cycles. This hypothesis has been falsified by the present world recession but the use of IT could make business cycles shorter.

However IT investments has its downsides. Firstly, in many companies, huge investments in IT did not give any return and secondly, the rapid spread of IT has introduced harsh competition in markets and uncertain pricing power of companies.

More: http://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/speeches/2002/20020116/default.htm

Fallout of the Enron Episode

Spotlight on Accounting Practices

The demise of Enron, the world's biggest energy-trading company, has attracted public attention on companies with questionable accounting practices. The event has shaken Americans' perception of financial markets, accounting practices and corporate ethics. All these are leading to high interest rates, which are raising cost of credit, which in turn is putting a strain on corporate investment plans. This means a slower recovery of the US economy and therefore a slower recovery of the world economy. 
More: http://www.iht.com/articles/45086.html

The Future of the Enron Project in India is Uncertain

Enron has been the largest foreign direct investor in India after the country opened up her economy to foreign investors in 1991. The Enron's power project at Dabhol in the Western Indian State of Maharashtra was plagued with controversy ever since the project was sanctioned. Maharashtra Government's handling of the project was questioned. The current troubles in Enron have put the controversy on the backburner for the time being and the future of the Dabhol power project is being contemplated. 

Enron’s human rights record in Dabhol and Maharshtra State Government’s role in that had also been criticised by a recent Human Rights Watch Report. Farmers of Dabhol have complained that Enron acquired their land unfairly and diverted scarce water for its needs. The report also accuses that contractors of the company harassed and attacked individuals who opposed the power project in Dabhol. Police refused to investigate complaints and is some cases, arrested the victims on trumped-up charges.
More: http://www.consortiumnews.com/2001/123001a.html

No Significant Effect on the World Energy Market

Though, Enron boasted a 25 percent market share in gas and power trading on both sides of the Atlantic, there has not been much effect of the company's downfall on the global energy market. One of the reasons could be that the company did not enjoy as high revenues as it used to project in its reports.  Instead of reporting profits from trading as revenues, Enron used to book the entire value of its trades as revenues, which is a common practice in this industry. If adjustments are made for this, the companies' share in the energy market will probably be around 15 percent. 
More: http://specials.ft.com/enron/FT3648VA9XC.html

Publications

Challenges in Implementing a Competition Policy and Law: An Agenda for Action

This report is an outcome of a symposium entitled ‘Competition Policy and Consumer Interest in the Global Economy’ which was organised by CUTS in Geneva on 12-13 October 2001, with the support of the International Development Research Centre, Canada. It will enable the stakeholders to  understand domestic as well as international challenges in respect of competition law and policy. (Suggested contribution: US$25/Indian Rs. 100) 

Globalisation and India: Myths and Realities

This monograph, published by CUTS, is an attempt to examine the myths and realities so as to address common fallacies about globalisation and raise peoples’ awareness on the potential benefits that globalisation has to offer, in a simple question-answer format. Its aim is to build up a constituency for economic reforms so as to unlock vital resources for generating better employment opportunities and get people out of poverty. Instead of developing a pessimistic outlook and finding faults in the process of globalisation, it is better that India pull up its socks and move ahead. (Suggested contribution: US$5/Indian Rs. 100)

For Subscription and Orders Please Write To

CUTS Centre for Competition, Investment and Economic Regulation 
D-217, Bhaskar Marg, Bani Park, Jaipur 302016, India
Ph: 91.141.2282821
Fax: 91.141.2282823/220 3998
Email: ifd_cuts@rediffmail.com & cuts@cuts.org
Web: www.cuts-international.org

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Copyright 2002 Consumer Unity & Trust Society (CUTS), All rights reserved.

 

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